Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.087888 4.392314 4.718302 5.095052 5.520630 5.989039 6.547144
2025-06-01 3.533895 3.946169 4.415682 4.996493 5.705081 6.554328 7.669719
2025-06-08 3.241556 3.715106 4.277760 5.008567 5.953128 7.163885 8.889431
2025-06-15 3.057566 3.577143 4.215877 5.079689 6.252833 7.849774 10.308032
2025-06-22 2.811642 3.334160 3.991185 4.904422 6.188269 8.013364 10.991000
2025-06-29 2.629577 3.154870 3.828516 4.787884 6.179437 8.239113 11.793604
2025-07-06 2.482985 3.009404 3.696245 4.695789 6.187356 8.479538 12.655464
2025-07-13 2.380509 2.914222 3.622603 4.676187 6.294818 8.882387 13.883227
2025-07-20 2.322750 2.874216 3.619833 4.755612 6.558292 9.573858 15.829500
2025-07-27 2.279693 2.850614 3.636684 4.862962 6.874922 10.404633 18.320076
2025-08-03 2.212031 2.788415 3.593275 4.872635 7.028293 10.961453 20.395553
2025-08-10 2.130086 2.701680 3.508518 4.809788 7.048714 11.264733 21.962705
2025-08-17 2.029846 2.587731 3.382345 4.679668 6.951951 11.349586 23.086924
2025-08-24 1.948422 2.497931 3.288445 4.596769 6.934841 11.604362 24.839652
2025-08-31 1.897279 2.449409 3.253621 4.607666 7.090444 12.257253 28.158424
2025-09-07 1.862539 2.422914 3.250310 4.670144 7.350076 13.199565 33.117098
2025-09-14 1.779886 2.321875 3.126154 4.516125 7.168501 13.065078 33.977276
2025-09-21 1.714291 2.243958 3.034797 4.413504 7.080269 13.147132 35.827480
2025-09-28 1.657725 2.177503 2.958482 4.332287 7.027259 13.309316 38.186380
2025-10-05 1.618548 2.135860 2.919642 4.314986 7.104623 13.827974 42.744008
2025-10-12 1.600088 2.124879 2.929172 4.385056 7.374598 14.935886 51.882101
2025-10-19 1.587354 2.122003 2.951399 4.479635 7.710254 16.335744 65.631607
2025-10-26 1.558384 2.092773 2.928714 4.488151 7.853051 17.197628 77.689927